Numbers Don't Lie, Liars Don't Count
Nate Hagens posted the Dispersive Discovery derivation of the Logistic curve on TheOilDrum.com last week. Lots of good comments posted but one kind of got my goat because it seemed quite regressive.
"WHT analysis would have been important in the 1920-1930's but its 2008 now and they seems to have done quite well without the dispersive model."This happens quite often when a new idea comes across the bow. The idea tends to get marginalized by trivializing the context. Consider that the Big Bang Theory seems a popular topic among scientific cosmologists and the Stephen Hawking readers. But some genius comes along and says "Why is the Big Bang important? That happened billions of years ago, and I can't buy gas for less than $4 a gallon today."
So the idea and its underlying worth becomes a matter of perspective. I figure that we still want to understand how we got ourselves into this mess.
Remember the George Monbiot quote: "Tell people something they know already and they will thank you for it. Tell them something new and they will hate you for it."
You would almost think that we have concern trolls that battle ideas via pure rhetoric without ever figuring to lift a pen and trying to contribute some sort of mathematical analysis (I know, how naive of me). Worse still, one of the most disturbing posts I have read recently came from Carl Pope 'Let Them Hate, So Long as They Fear' , about the anti-scientific views of the Bush administration. And now, all these scientific neotards have started to come out of the woodwork with the high gas prices. I recall doing a post several years ago where I monitored the Powerline blog, a notorious right-wing puppet site, for historical references to any kind of post relating to real oil depletion issues. Looking back at the reference table I generated, they did make 3 references to opening up the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge. So I now can see how the roots of the right-wing talking points develop. Of course, now the Powerline guys have become experts on the current situation, filling their blog with their "take" on the current oil situation. But we all know the PowerLiars couldn't count their way out of a paper sack.
Fellow Minnesotans, please vote for Al Franken. Likely the only senatorial candidate ever to achieve a perfect score (800) on the mathematics portion of the SAT, he understands this stuff and knows even more about the lying techniques of the 'minionist right. He basically wrote the book on it.