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Thursday, July 08, 2004

Histogram

From a table of oil reserves by country, the following is a poor-man's histogram of the number of countries which hit Peak Oil production in any given year (the circles indicate predicted dates). What is most evident to the layman from this data is how we are running out of countries with plentiful reserve. Also interesting was the spike around 1970 (including USA and foreshadowing the oil scare of the 70's) and the quickening pace in the last few years.

2010
2009 o
2008 oo
2007
2006 o
2005 oo
2004 #
2003 ####
2002 #
2001 ###
2000 ##
1999 ###
1998 ####
1997 ##
1996 #
1995 ##
1994
1993 #
1992 #
1991 ##
1990
1989 ##
1988 ##
1987 #
1986 ##
1985
1984
1983 ##
1982 #
1981 #
1980
1979
1978 ###
1977 #
1976 #
1975
1974 #
1973 ##
1972
1971 #
1970 ####


Only 2 countries reached Peak Oil production prior to 1970, and barring any new countries being added to the list, only 5 countries have Peak Oil production extending beyond 2010.

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